Economic Indicators18 minutes ago (Sep 08, 2020 02:25AM ET)
(C) Reuters. The headquarters of Morgan Stanley is seen in New York
TOKYO (Reuters) – The global economy is likely to recover to pre-pandemic levels by early next quarter, about three months earlier than previously expected, economists at Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) said.
“The evidence indicates that the virus/economy equation has shifted decisively from the early days of the outbreak,” they said in a note to clients, saying that the recovery has continued to gather momentum as countries get better at managing the virus.
The U.S. economy could reach its pre-COVID 19 levels by the second quarter of next year, while the entire developed markets could reach that level by the third quarter of next year, they said.
Coupled with unprecedented levels of fiscal and monetary support and possible disruptions to trade, the prospective recovery is likely to be accompanied by stronger inflation, they said.
Global economy seeing sharper V recovery, raising case for inflation: Morgan Stanley
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